Tuesday, August 9, 2011

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 9, 2011 Edition)

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishTuesday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

The vote was 7-3 — the first time in 5 meetings that the nation's Central Bank was non-unanimous and the first time since 1992 that the FOMC adjourned with as many as three dissenters.

In its press release, the FOMC had little good to say about the U.S. economy, noting that since its last meeting in June:

  1. Growth has been "considerably slower" than expected
  2. Labor market conditions have deteriorated
  3. Household spendng has "flattened"

The Fed also noted that the housing sector remains depressed.

On the positive side, the Fed said that business investment in equipment and software continues to expand, and that energy costs have dropped and no longer contribute to inflationary pressures on the economy.

In fact, the Fed worries that inflation may be running too low for the country's good.

To that end, the Federal Reserve has pledged to keep the Fed Funds Rate in its current range near 0.000 percent "at least until mid-2013". This is a departure from prior statements in which the Fed gave no such date.

Mortgage market reaction to the FOMC statement has been positive this afternoon. Mortgage rates are improving, but note that sentiment can shift quickly -- especially in a market as uncertain as this one.

If today's mortgage rates look good in your household budget, consider locking in a rate.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is September 20, 2011.

Monday, August 8, 2011

First-Aid Guide For Furniture

Furniture First-Aid TechniquesWhen furniture arrives in your home, it's factory-issued, perfect and clean. From that day forward, however, accidents can happen, causing damage to your pieces. Sometimes the damage is permanent.

Know how to react when the inevitable spill or scratch occurs and you can "save" your furniture and extend its useful life.

From Martha Stewart, these "first-aid for furniture" tips should come in handy.

Wood

  • Moisture "rings" : Pour table salt on the white rings/haze and cover with a terry cloth. Apply hair dryer on low setting until rings are gone.
  • Alcohol spills : Blot spills immediately, do not rub. Apply small amounts of ammonia to damage.
  • Wax spills : Allow to cool and harden, then freeze the wax with an ice cube in a sandwich bag. Use a butter knife to gently scrape off wax.

Fabric

  • Red wine stains : Cover wine with table salt and let sit until salt has wicked up the wine. Vacuum salt and repeat, as necessary. Blot remaining stains with damp cloth and dish soap.
  • General spills : Repeatedly blot with a damp white cloth. Use white cloths to prevent dye transfer.
  • Oil spills : Cover spill with baking soda and vacuum once absorbed. Blot remaining stains with rubbing alcohol

Leather

  • General stains : Blot with all-purpose household cleaner. To prevent fading in the upholstery, avoid products with bleach or bleach alternatives.
  • Scratches : Apply saddle soap to a damp cloth and rub the scratch to help it "blend in". It won't go away.

The tips on leather furniture also makes mention that you should never bother with touch-up kits or colored markers. It's nearly impossible to match leather colors and your repair work will only make the scratch more noticeable.

Friday, August 5, 2011

Mortgage Rates Make New 2011 Lows

Freddie Mac mortgage rates

Mortgage rates plunged to new 2011 lows this week. 

According to Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the national, average 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 4.39% this week -- the lowest 30-year fixed reading since November 18, 2010.

The 0.16 drop from last week is the largest one-week rate drop in more than 2 years, and, although the 30-year fixed remains above its all-time lows from November 2010, two other benchmark products made new records this week.

Both the 15-year fixed rate mortgage and the 5-year ARM are reporting lower than at any time in recorded history.

Freddie Mac puts those average rates at 3.54% and 3.18%, respectively.

Mortgage rates are dropping for several reasons, including :

  • U.S. economic growth is slower-than-expected
  • The U.S. government plans to curb its spending
  • Global investors seek the safety of U.S.-backed bonds

The first two items are unfavorable for business and, as a result, stock markets have sold off all week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted an 8-day losing streak and Thursday it made its biggest one-day loss since 2008.

When equities lose, bonds tend to gain. This leads mortgage rates lower.

Mortgage rates also fell on "safe haven" buying; bond buys made because of their relative safety to risky assets. Mortgage bonds are considered "safe" so when economies and geopolitics are uncertain, mortgage rates improve.

Going forward, there are reasons for mortgage rates to fall again. The economy won't rebound overnight and neither will investor confidence. However, markets can be fickle and rates have been known to reverse quickly.

With rates as low as they've been history, it's an advantageous time to refinance your home loan, or purchase a new property.

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Closing At The Start Of September? Watch Out For Labor Day.

Plan ahead for Labor Day closingsHome sales have heated up, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

More homes are going under contract this summer than went during the winter or spring seasons. Many of these homes are scheduled for late-August/early-September closings. 

If your home is among them, plan ahead. 

Like for the rest of the U.S. workforce, Labor Day is a popular vacation time in the real estate, title and mortgage industries. Closings come together more slowly when the parties involved are on holiday. In addition, when issues arise, they are often slower to resolve because not everyone is "present". 

Therefore, if you're under contract to buy or sell your home, or have a refinance in-process with a lender, get proactive with your home and your loan. Finalize your approval as quickly as possible.

Here are some tips to help your loan clear faster:

  1. Prepay your first year of homeowners insurance, effective your closing date. Provide proof of payment to your lender.
  2. Document and deposit all gifts and retirement withdrawals to be used at your closing as early in the process as possible.
  3. Get Power of Attorney forms signed by all parties, and lender-approved, if applicable.
  4. When your lender makes a paperwork request, fulfill the request within 24 hours.

There are steps you can take to make your closing go more smoothly, too.

First, if your transaction is purchase, don't leave your walk-through for the last-minute. Schedule it for as early as reasonable. This way, if there's an issue, there's ample time to resolve it. Remember, it's harder to solve problems when one or more parties to the transaction is away on vacation.

Second, if you have planned time off between now and your closing, make it known, and be reachable in the event of emergency by phone, email or both.

Lastly, if possible, avoid scheduling your closing for the Friday before Labor Day or the Tuesday after. Real estate, title and lender offices are notoriously short-staffed and overworked on these two days. Routine tasks take longer than usual.

You can't stop people from going on vacation, but you can plan for it. It would be foolish not to.

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

A Mortgage Rate Strategy For July's Jobs Report

Net new jobs, 3-month rolling average 2000-2011

At 8:30 AM ET Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July 2011 Non-Farm Payrolls report. Mark it in your calendar. If you've been watching mortgage rates fall to new all-time lows this week and fear a mortgage rate reversal, Friday could be the day.

The monthly Non-Farm Payrolls data can swing a big stick in mortgage markets.

More commonly called "the jobs report", Non-Farm Payrolls details the U.S. workforce, providing sector-by-sector analysis of workforce, as well as the national Unemployment Rate. 

The jobs report affects mortgage rates because of how important jobs are to the U.S. economy.

When there are more working Americans:

  1. There's more consumer spending, a boost to businesses
  2. There's more tax collection, a boost to governments
  3. There's more personal savings, a boost to households

In July, analysts anticipate 85,000 new jobs created. This would be a 4-fold increase from June's 18,000 figure.

The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain unchanged at 9.2%.

For rate shoppers and home buyers , these Wall Street expectations can be as important as the actual data itself. Right now, traders placing bets, expecting 85,000 new jobs in July. If the final tally is more than 85,000, traders will load up on equities at the expense of bonds. This is because job growth is good for the economy.

When bonds sell off, rates rise.

Conversely, if jobs growth is less than 85,000, mortgage rates should drop.

Mortgage rates are near all-time lows this morning. By Friday, they could rise. The safe move is to lock your rate today. Rates may fall when the jobs report is released, but there's much more room for rates to rise.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

What Will The Debt Ceiling Agreement Do To Mortgage Rates?

Debt ceiling debate resolutionThe United States is projected to reach its legal $14.294 trillion debt limit today. The limit was set by Congress February 12, 2010. The U.S. Treasury may not issue new debt beyond the debt ceiling.

Since April 2011, Congress has debated ways to remain below the nation's $14.292 trillion borrowing limit. The debate commenced with the passage of the 2011 U.S. Federal Budget which featured a $1.645 trillion deficit.

This multi-trillion dollar deficit ensured that the debt ceiling would be touched at some point during the current fiscal year.

That date was May 16. It took an intervention from the Treasury Secretary to temporarily extend the limits; an "extraordinary measure" meant to keep the U.S. government from defaulting on its debt.

With additional room to borrow, then, the U.S. Treasury's new debt ceiling date was moved to August 2. Congress has been debating the federal budget since mid-May with the dual-goal of (1) Remaining below the federal debt limit, and (2) Creating a budgetary surplus for the future.

An agreement is expected today.

For home buyers and rate shoppers , this is an important development. The debt ceiling agreement will influence mortgage markets and, as a result, require amendments to home affordability calculations. As mortgage rates change, your purchasing power does, too.

Unfortunately, we don't know in which direction mortgage rates will go.

Since the prospect of a deal was first hinted Friday, mortgage rates have been improving. Conforming, 30-year fixed rates are down nearly 0.250 percent, lowering a $150,000 mortgage payment by $22 per month.

The final deal terms of a deal, however, could lead rates higher.

As always, the safest play is to lock your mortgage rate if you are comfortable with its proposed payment. Yes, mortgage rates may move lower in the future but, then again, maybe they'll move higher.

Monday, August 1, 2011

Don't Use Your Ladder's Top 2 Steps, And Other DIY Safety Tips

Home improvement projects are on the rise, according to the BuildFax Remodeling Index. For the 19th straight month, May's index rose, suggesting that homeowners are remodeling more frequently than in the past.

Do-it-yourself projects are on the rise, too.

If you're among the many homeowners forgoing paid contractors, be sure to follow basic safety precautions because, as this 5-minute video from NBC's The Today Show points out, a home remodeling "accident" could cost you more than the money saved on the project itself.

The interview gives several key tips:

  • Use "expandable" earplugs to prevent hearing loss from power tools.
  • Don't wear sneakers or sandals. Wear construction boots.
  • Never stand on the top 2 steps of a ladder.

In addition, we're reminded to wear safety glasses always. Eye issues are the number one injury as reported by home remodelers, and accidents can happen anytime.

Watch the full video at the NBC website. And, f you feel your next home remodeling project is beyond your personal expertise, seek a professional's help. Call or email me for local recommendations.